Loans in the Middle East
As far as the Middle East is concerned, loan rates have been relatively stable, especially when compared to the USA or even Europe. Although the quickly depleting oil reserves seems poised to change all this.
One of the most important factors which has severely affected loan rates, and in particular mortgage rates, is the constant unrest in and around the Middle East. One good example is the average interest rate on a 30-year home loan. This rate has fallen below the 5% mark only recently due to unrest in the Middle East which has pushed down bond yields.
As we all know, inflation is the thorn in the side of Bonds and home loan rates. This is not just true in the USA but in the rest of the world as well. This in turn increases the amount of global unrest, not just the overt kind found in Egypt but in other parts of the world as well in the form of loss of confidence in the government and banking systems. All these factors can be put down essentially to economic factors – and most prominently, the insane inflation levels in any and all commodities.
This has required tightening of lending standards by demanding that banks raise their capital reserve requirements. Again, all this can be attributed particularly to the rise in food costs and increased cost of almost all smaller commodities ranging from hair brushes to bus fares. Much like their European counterparts, the Middle East has its fair share of inflation conundrums. It is quite evident that inflation rates are not yet in as comfortable a place as most Middle Eastern nations would like it to be, but it is slowly getting there. This could be thanks the strong, constant development experienced in these regions which is preparing them to sever their long held ties and dependence on crude oil and petroleum.
But for the moment, thanks to the inflation, rates will rise as a measure to fight it. But eventually when the inflation does go down, these higher rates will cause bonds to become very attractive which in turn would actually aid in the economic growth of the Middle East.
Although all the good news is not for the distant future, Qatar, for instance, experienced almost constant deflation in 2010 and has now forecasted economic growth of up to 15.7 percent this year which would slow down to 7.1 percent in 2012. Qatar happens to be the world’s fastest growing economy and the fact that this country suffered the worst inflation of all Gulf countries is some consolation to the rest of the Middle East (in fact this inflation rose to such an extent that rates had to be hiked up to almost astronomical levels which almost entirely stopped all borrowing in the region).
All in all, compared to the USA and Europe, the Middle East’s current loan situation seems to be in a much better condition and promises good growth in the future.
Copyright secured by Digiprove © 2011 